Global Head of e-Mobility at TÜV SÜD, Volker Blandow discusses one billion vehicles on the planet – a success story with repercussions for the environment
Since December 2012 we have entered a new era in transportation. For the first time ever, the number of vehicles on the roads has reached over one billion globally and there seems to be no signs of slowdown in the growth of vehicle fleets. It is also forecasted that 80 million new vehicles will be produced in 2013, increasing the growth of the global fleet size by 30 million vehicles. If this trend continues, we will see an additional 100 million vehicles on the road every three years, equivalent to a 10% increase in total.
While these figures represent a tremendous success story in transportation history and is one of the remaining drivers of global economic growth; there is also a downside in that 98% of all vehicles still run on oil. This puts additional pressure on the global oil supply every year and nobody knows with certainty how long supply can keep up with the demand. We also face new political dependencies as oil production in western regions like Europe, the USA and in big Asian economies like Japan, Korea and China decrease quickly; and other suppliers are needed to fill the growing gap.
‘Continuous efforts are required to work towards even lower targets after 2020. In principle, a 10% increase in global vehicle fleet efficiency every three years is required just to stabilise the emissions levels.’
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